Week 9 · 2026
What the model says about week 9
Every FBS game on the slate, with a projected margin from opponent-adjusted ratings — and, where a line exists, how far that sits from the betting market.
Ranked teams this week
#4 Ohio Stateat
#19 USCOhio State by 6.6 (69%)
#16 Mississippi Stat
#7 TexasTexas by 8.4 (74%)
Floridavs
#1 GeorgiaGeorgia by 10.2 (78%)
#2 Notre Damevs
NavyNotre Dame by 21.6 (95%)
#3 Miamiat
North CarolinaMiami by 14.4 (87%)
Minnesotaat
#5 IndianaIndiana by 20.2 (94%)
Arizona Stat
#8 BYUBYU by 14.1 (86%)
Auburnat
#9 Ole MissOle Miss by 7.8 (72%)
The full slate
56 games, in kickoff order.
Delawareat
Western KYWestern KY by 3.2 (60%)
Sam Houstonat
Missouri StMissouri St by 3.1 (60%)
Kennesaw Stat
MTSUKennesaw St by 4.9 (65%)
Jax Stateat
New Mexico StJax State by 2.9 (59%)
FAUat
North TexasNorth Texas by 11.0 (80%)
Troyat
James MadisonJames Madison by 15.0 (88%)
Tulaneat
CharlotteTulane by 15.4 (88%)
Baylorat
UCFUCF by 1.1 (53%)
Kent Stateat
Sacramento StKent State by 1.8 (55%)
#3 Miamiat
North CarolinaMiami by 14.4 (87%)
#4 Ohio Stateat
#19 USCOhio State by 6.6 (69%)
Minnesotaat
#5 IndianaIndiana by 20.2 (94%)
#16 Mississippi Stat
#7 TexasTexas by 8.4 (74%)
Arizona Stat
#8 BYUBYU by 14.1 (86%)
Auburnat
#9 Ole MissOle Miss by 7.8 (72%)
Arizonaat
#10 Texas TechTexas Tech by 8.6 (75%)
#11 Utahat
CincinnatiUtah by 10.6 (79%)
Nevadaat
#12 UCLAUCLA by 19.4 (93%)
#13 Missouriat
ArkansasMissouri by 9.6 (77%)
Wisconsinat
#17 IowaIowa by 5.0 (65%)
#18 Oklahoma Stat
Iowa StateIowa State by 5.7 (67%)
Virginiaat
#21 Wake ForestWake Forest by 6.6 (69%)
#24 SMUat
SyracuseSMU by 3.8 (62%)
#25 Northwesternat
OregonOregon by 8.7 (75%)
South Carolinaat
OklahomaOklahoma by 5.3 (66%)
Kansasat
TCUTCU by 5.1 (65%)
Kansas Stat
ColoradoKansas St by 4.9 (65%)
Californiaat
NC StateNC State by 4.0 (62%)
Boston Collegeat
DukeDuke by 14.7 (87%)
Clemsonat
Florida StFlorida St by 3.1 (59%)
Georgia Techat
PittPitt by 11.4 (81%)
Stanfordat
LouisvilleLouisville by 16.0 (89%)
Illinoisat
MarylandIllinois by 2.1 (56%)
Washingtonat
NebraskaNebraska by 8.8 (75%)
Purdueat
Penn StatePenn State by 8.4 (74%)
Michiganat
RutgersMichigan by 7.5 (72%)
Oregon Stat
Fresno StFresno St by 2.6 (58%)
Armyat
MemphisMemphis by 7.2 (71%)
Templeat
East CarolinaEast Carolina by 8.2 (74%)
UABat
South FloridaSouth Florida by 15.4 (88%)
New Mexicoat
San José StNew Mexico by 12.6 (83%)
App Stateat
GA SouthernGA Southern by 6.4 (69%)
Coastalat
Georgia StGeorgia St by 7.3 (71%)
Southern Missat
UL MonroeSouthern Miss by 4.6 (64%)
Marshallat
Old DominionOld Dominion by 9.0 (76%)
Louisiana Techat
South AlabamaLouisiana Tech by 0.5 (52%)
#2 Notre Damevs
NavyNotre Dame by 21.6 (95%)
Bowling Greenat
W MichiganW Michigan by 14.0 (86%)
UConnat
Air ForceAir Force by 1.3 (54%)
Floridavs
#1 GeorgiaGeorgia by 10.2 (78%)
Colorado Stat
Utah StateUtah State by 3.1 (59%)
UTEPat
N Dakota StN Dakota St by 22.5 (96%)
FIUat
LibertyLiberty by 7.0 (70%)
Washington Stat
San Diego StSan Diego St by 2.8 (59%)
Texas Stat
#23 Boise StBoise St by 9.5 (77%)
N Illinoisat
UNLVUNLV by 17.8 (91%)
How this works
Ratings are opponent-adjusted from 2026 results and converted to a margin with a home-field term. Probabilities use a spread fitted on out-of-sample predictions, the same conversion used everywhere else on this site.
Games involving a team outside the FBS pool use the ratings engine's FCS constant rather than a real rating, and are excluded from the disagreement list — a large gap there reflects not knowing the opponent, not a genuine difference of opinion.
Lines come from ESPN's public feed and move through the week. Voluntary Takes is an independent fan site and takes no position on any wager.