Week 2 · 2026
What the model says about week 2
Every FBS game on the slate, with a projected margin from opponent-adjusted ratings — and, where a line exists, how far that sits from the betting market.
Tennessee's game
#18 Tennesseeat
Georgia Tech
Final · ESPN
Tennessee by 7.3
Model
71%
To win
—
Market
Ranked teams this week
#1 Ohio Stateat
#4 TexasOhio State by 2.8 (59%)
Western KYat
#2 GeorgiaGeorgia by 26.4 (98%)
Riceat
#3 Notre DameNotre Dame by 32.1 (99%)
Howardat
#5 IndianaIndiana by 48.1 (99%)
#6 Oregonat
Oklahoma StOregon by 10.0 (78%)
Florida A&Mat
#7 MiamiMiami by 48.0 (99%)
Louisiana Techat
#8 LSULSU by 15.6 (88%)
Charlotteat
#9 Ole MissOle Miss by 31.2 (99%)
The full slate
86 games, in kickoff order.
Florida A&Mat
#7 MiamiMiami by 48.0 (99%)
Villanovaat
#24 LouisvilleLouisville by 37.0 (99%)
Norfolk Stat
#25 VirginiaVirginia by 34.3 (99%)
Richmondat
NC StateNC State by 30.4 (99%)
Rutgersat
Boston CollegeRutgers by 0.8 (52%)
#23 Missouriat
KansasMissouri by 6.4 (69%)
Howardat
#5 IndianaIndiana by 48.1 (99%)
Arizona Stat
#10 Texas A&MTexas A&M by 11.3 (81%)
#11 Oklahomaat
MichiganOklahoma by 0.3 (51%)
#16 Penn Stateat
TemplePenn State by 9.8 (78%)
Washington Stat
Kansas StKansas St by 10.0 (78%)
ETSUat
North CarolinaNorth Carolina by 31.1 (99%)
Old Dominionat
Virginia TechVirginia Tech by 8.0 (73%)
Wake Forestat
PurdueWake Forest by 4.1 (62%)
South Floridaat
ArmySouth Florida by 1.6 (55%)
App Stateat
East CarolinaEast Carolina by 10.7 (79%)
Woffordat
Kent StateKent State by 18.3 (92%)
Wagnerat
James MadisonJames Madison by 38.5 (99%)
Gardner-Webbat
LibertyLiberty by 30.5 (99%)
Western KYat
#2 GeorgiaGeorgia by 26.4 (98%)
UT Martinat
West VirginiaWest Virginia by 28.7 (99%)
Colgateat
C MichiganC Michigan by 22.5 (96%)
Holy Crossat
Miami OHMiami OH by 25.3 (97%)
#6 Oregonat
Oklahoma StOregon by 10.0 (78%)
Stony Brookat
Ball StateBall State by 15.9 (89%)
Riceat
#3 Notre DameNotre Dame by 32.1 (99%)
#12 Alabamaat
KentuckyAlabama by 10.7 (80%)
Arizonaat
#15 BYUBYU by 6.2 (68%)
Utah Stateat
#19 WashingtonWashington by 11.4 (81%)
Mississippi Stat
MinnesotaMississippi St by 4.9 (65%)
Weber Stat
ColoradoColorado by 26.0 (98%)
UCFat
PittPitt by 7.3 (71%)
Californiaat
SyracuseSyracuse by 1.6 (55%)
Dukeat
IllinoisIllinois by 1.0 (53%)
E Michiganat
Michigan StMichigan St by 11.5 (81%)
Marylandat
UConnUConn by 2.8 (59%)
UTSAat
Texas StTexas St by 0.1 (50%)
UL Monroeat
UABUAB by 8.9 (75%)
Robert Morrisat
AkronAkron by 17.3 (91%)
C Connecticutat
ToledoToledo by 30.5 (99%)
Sacred Heartat
UMassUMass by 18.6 (92%)
UNLVat
North TexasNorth Texas by 7.4 (71%)
UC Davisat
#17 SMUSMU by 34.3 (99%)
N Coloradoat
WyomingWyoming by 20.0 (94%)
Mercyhurstat
New MexicoNew Mexico by 36.0 (99%)
Alabama Stat
TroyTroy by 26.0 (98%)
Delawareat
VanderbiltVanderbilt by 12.1 (82%)
Campbellat
FloridaFlorida by 36.3 (99%)
Memphisat
Boise StBoise St by 4.7 (64%)
Buffaloat
FIUFIU by 8.7 (75%)
Jax Stateat
OhioOhio by 3.3 (60%)
Monmouthat
W MichiganW Michigan by 30.4 (99%)
#18 Tennesseeat
Georgia TechTennessee by 7.3 (71%)
Southernat
#22 HoustonHouston by 39.8 (99%)
Towsonat
South CarolinaSouth Carolina by 36.4 (99%)
W Carolinaat
CincinnatiCincinnati by 31.2 (99%)
Bowling Greenat
NebraskaNebraska by 22.5 (96%)
Southern Utahat
Colorado StColorado St by 23.0 (96%)
Tulsaat
Sam HoustonTulsa by 4.7 (64%)
Illinois Stat
N IllinoisN Illinois by 15.2 (88%)
South Alabamaat
TulaneTulane by 6.8 (70%)
West Georgiaat
Arkansas StArkansas St by 24.1 (97%)
Georgia Stat
Kennesaw StKennesaw St by 0.9 (53%)
MTSUat
MarshallMarshall by 3.8 (62%)
Lindenwoodat
Missouri StMissouri St by 19.5 (93%)
San Diego Stat
UCLAUCLA by 14.9 (87%)
W Illinoisat
WisconsinWisconsin by 36.0 (99%)
#1 Ohio Stateat
#4 TexasOhio State by 2.8 (59%)
Louisiana Techat
#8 LSULSU by 15.6 (88%)
#13 Texas Techat
Oregon StTexas Tech by 9.5 (77%)
Iowa Stateat
#21 IowaIowa by 7.2 (71%)
Navyat
FAUNavy by 0.2 (51%)
Fordhamat
CoastalCoastal by 22.7 (96%)
Charlotteat
#9 Ole MissOle Miss by 31.2 (99%)
Gramblingat
TCUTCU by 34.8 (99%)
Prairie Viewat
BaylorBaylor by 35.1 (99%)
Southern Missat
AuburnAuburn by 16.4 (90%)
Cal Polyat
San José StSan José St by 20.9 (95%)
Texas Southernat
UTEPUTEP by 16.1 (89%)
GA Southernat
ClemsonClemson by 9.6 (77%)
N Dakota Stat
Air ForceN Dakota St by 5.3 (66%)
Arkansasat
#20 UtahUtah by 17.8 (91%)
Sacramento Stat
Fresno StFresno St by 20.5 (94%)
Montana Stat
NevadaNevada by 21.8 (95%)
Louisianaat
#14 USCUSC by 16.0 (89%)
New Mexico Stat
Hawai'iHawai'i by 2.8 (59%)
How this works
Ratings are opponent-adjusted from 2026 results and converted to a margin with a home-field term. Probabilities use a spread fitted on out-of-sample predictions, the same conversion used everywhere else on this site.
Games involving a team outside the FBS pool use the ratings engine's FCS constant rather than a real rating, and are excluded from the disagreement list — a large gap there reflects not knowing the opponent, not a genuine difference of opinion.
Lines come from ESPN's public feed and move through the week. Voluntary Takes is an independent fan site and takes no position on any wager.