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Week 2 · 2026

What the model says about week 2

Every FBS game on the slate, with a projected margin from opponent-adjusted ratings — and, where a line exists, how far that sits from the betting market.

Tennessee's game

#18 TennesseeatGeorgia Tech

Final · ESPN

Tennessee by 7.3

Model

71%

To win

—

Market

Ranked teams this week

  • #1 Ohio Stateat#4 Texas

    Ohio State by 2.8 (59%)

  • Western KYat#2 Georgia

    Georgia by 26.4 (98%)

  • Riceat#3 Notre Dame

    Notre Dame by 32.1 (99%)

  • Howardat#5 Indiana

    Indiana by 48.1 (99%)

  • #6 OregonatOklahoma St

    Oregon by 10.0 (78%)

  • Florida A&Mat#7 Miami

    Miami by 48.0 (99%)

  • Louisiana Techat#8 LSU

    LSU by 15.6 (88%)

  • Charlotteat#9 Ole Miss

    Ole Miss by 31.2 (99%)

The full slate

86 games, in kickoff order.

  • Florida A&Mat#7 Miami

    Miami by 48.0 (99%)

  • Villanovaat#24 Louisville

    Louisville by 37.0 (99%)

  • Norfolk Stat#25 Virginia

    Virginia by 34.3 (99%)

  • RichmondatNC State

    NC State by 30.4 (99%)

  • RutgersatBoston College

    Rutgers by 0.8 (52%)

  • #23 MissouriatKansas

    Missouri by 6.4 (69%)

  • Howardat#5 Indiana

    Indiana by 48.1 (99%)

  • Arizona Stat#10 Texas A&M

    Texas A&M by 11.3 (81%)

  • #11 OklahomaatMichigan

    Oklahoma by 0.3 (51%)

  • #16 Penn StateatTemple

    Penn State by 9.8 (78%)

  • Washington StatKansas St

    Kansas St by 10.0 (78%)

  • ETSUatNorth Carolina

    North Carolina by 31.1 (99%)

  • Old DominionatVirginia Tech

    Virginia Tech by 8.0 (73%)

  • Wake ForestatPurdue

    Wake Forest by 4.1 (62%)

  • South FloridaatArmy

    South Florida by 1.6 (55%)

  • App StateatEast Carolina

    East Carolina by 10.7 (79%)

  • WoffordatKent State

    Kent State by 18.3 (92%)

  • WagneratJames Madison

    James Madison by 38.5 (99%)

  • Gardner-WebbatLiberty

    Liberty by 30.5 (99%)

  • Western KYat#2 Georgia

    Georgia by 26.4 (98%)

  • UT MartinatWest Virginia

    West Virginia by 28.7 (99%)

  • ColgateatC Michigan

    C Michigan by 22.5 (96%)

  • Holy CrossatMiami OH

    Miami OH by 25.3 (97%)

  • #6 OregonatOklahoma St

    Oregon by 10.0 (78%)

  • Stony BrookatBall State

    Ball State by 15.9 (89%)

  • Riceat#3 Notre Dame

    Notre Dame by 32.1 (99%)

  • #12 AlabamaatKentucky

    Alabama by 10.7 (80%)

  • Arizonaat#15 BYU

    BYU by 6.2 (68%)

  • Utah Stateat#19 Washington

    Washington by 11.4 (81%)

  • Mississippi StatMinnesota

    Mississippi St by 4.9 (65%)

  • Weber StatColorado

    Colorado by 26.0 (98%)

  • UCFatPitt

    Pitt by 7.3 (71%)

  • CaliforniaatSyracuse

    Syracuse by 1.6 (55%)

  • DukeatIllinois

    Illinois by 1.0 (53%)

  • E MichiganatMichigan St

    Michigan St by 11.5 (81%)

  • MarylandatUConn

    UConn by 2.8 (59%)

  • UTSAatTexas St

    Texas St by 0.1 (50%)

  • UL MonroeatUAB

    UAB by 8.9 (75%)

  • Robert MorrisatAkron

    Akron by 17.3 (91%)

  • C ConnecticutatToledo

    Toledo by 30.5 (99%)

  • Sacred HeartatUMass

    UMass by 18.6 (92%)

  • UNLVatNorth Texas

    North Texas by 7.4 (71%)

  • UC Davisat#17 SMU

    SMU by 34.3 (99%)

  • N ColoradoatWyoming

    Wyoming by 20.0 (94%)

  • MercyhurstatNew Mexico

    New Mexico by 36.0 (99%)

  • Alabama StatTroy

    Troy by 26.0 (98%)

  • DelawareatVanderbilt

    Vanderbilt by 12.1 (82%)

  • CampbellatFlorida

    Florida by 36.3 (99%)

  • MemphisatBoise St

    Boise St by 4.7 (64%)

  • BuffaloatFIU

    FIU by 8.7 (75%)

  • Jax StateatOhio

    Ohio by 3.3 (60%)

  • MonmouthatW Michigan

    W Michigan by 30.4 (99%)

  • #18 TennesseeatGeorgia Tech

    Tennessee by 7.3 (71%)

  • Southernat#22 Houston

    Houston by 39.8 (99%)

  • TowsonatSouth Carolina

    South Carolina by 36.4 (99%)

  • W CarolinaatCincinnati

    Cincinnati by 31.2 (99%)

  • Bowling GreenatNebraska

    Nebraska by 22.5 (96%)

  • Southern UtahatColorado St

    Colorado St by 23.0 (96%)

  • TulsaatSam Houston

    Tulsa by 4.7 (64%)

  • Illinois StatN Illinois

    N Illinois by 15.2 (88%)

  • South AlabamaatTulane

    Tulane by 6.8 (70%)

  • West GeorgiaatArkansas St

    Arkansas St by 24.1 (97%)

  • Georgia StatKennesaw St

    Kennesaw St by 0.9 (53%)

  • MTSUatMarshall

    Marshall by 3.8 (62%)

  • LindenwoodatMissouri St

    Missouri St by 19.5 (93%)

  • San Diego StatUCLA

    UCLA by 14.9 (87%)

  • W IllinoisatWisconsin

    Wisconsin by 36.0 (99%)

  • #1 Ohio Stateat#4 Texas

    Ohio State by 2.8 (59%)

  • Louisiana Techat#8 LSU

    LSU by 15.6 (88%)

  • #13 Texas TechatOregon St

    Texas Tech by 9.5 (77%)

  • Iowa Stateat#21 Iowa

    Iowa by 7.2 (71%)

  • NavyatFAU

    Navy by 0.2 (51%)

  • FordhamatCoastal

    Coastal by 22.7 (96%)

  • Charlotteat#9 Ole Miss

    Ole Miss by 31.2 (99%)

  • GramblingatTCU

    TCU by 34.8 (99%)

  • Prairie ViewatBaylor

    Baylor by 35.1 (99%)

  • Southern MissatAuburn

    Auburn by 16.4 (90%)

  • Cal PolyatSan José St

    San José St by 20.9 (95%)

  • Texas SouthernatUTEP

    UTEP by 16.1 (89%)

  • GA SouthernatClemson

    Clemson by 9.6 (77%)

  • N Dakota StatAir Force

    N Dakota St by 5.3 (66%)

  • Arkansasat#20 Utah

    Utah by 17.8 (91%)

  • Sacramento StatFresno St

    Fresno St by 20.5 (94%)

  • Montana StatNevada

    Nevada by 21.8 (95%)

  • Louisianaat#14 USC

    USC by 16.0 (89%)

  • New Mexico StatHawai'i

    Hawai'i by 2.8 (59%)

How this works

Ratings are opponent-adjusted from 2026 results and converted to a margin with a home-field term. Probabilities use a spread fitted on out-of-sample predictions, the same conversion used everywhere else on this site.

Games involving a team outside the FBS pool use the ratings engine's FCS constant rather than a real rating, and are excluded from the disagreement list — a large gap there reflects not knowing the opponent, not a genuine difference of opinion.

Lines come from ESPN's public feed and move through the week. Voluntary Takes is an independent fan site and takes no position on any wager.