Week 8 · 2026

What the model says about week 8

Every FBS game on the slate, with a projected margin from opponent-adjusted ratings — and, where a line exists, how far that sits from the betting market.

Tennessee's game

#14 TennesseeatSouth Carolina

10/24 - 3:30 PM EDT

Tennessee by 0.5

Model

52%

To win

—

Market

Ranked teams this week

#9 Ole Missat#7 Texas
Texas by 5.6 (67%)
#20 Houstonat#11 Utah
Utah by 7.0 (70%)
Pittat#3 Miami
Miami by 12.0 (82%)
#5 IndianaatMichigan
Indiana by 9.3 (76%)
Texas A&Mat#6 Alabama
Alabama by 13.0 (84%)
#8 BYUatUCF
BYU by 5.3 (66%)
#10 Texas TechatCincinnati
Texas Tech by 10.2 (78%)
Michigan Stat#12 UCLA
UCLA by 10.7 (79%)

The full slate

56 games, in kickoff order.

MTSUatFIU
FIU by 10.0 (78%)
Missouri StatDelaware
Delaware by 4.8 (65%)
South AlabamaatMarshall
South Alabama by 3.0 (59%)
New Mexico StatSam Houston
New Mexico St by 0.0 (50%)
James MadisonatApp State
James Madison by 13.2 (84%)
LibertyatKennesaw St
Liberty by 2.1 (56%)
East CarolinaatMemphis
Memphis by 5.6 (67%)
DukeatVirginia
Virginia by 1.6 (55%)
UMassatUConn
UConn by 13.4 (85%)
ArmyatTulsa
Army by 0.9 (53%)
Air ForceatWyoming
Air Force by 5.8 (67%)
NC StateatStanford
NC State by 4.4 (63%)
#5 IndianaatMichigan
Indiana by 9.3 (76%)
#8 BYUatUCF
BYU by 5.3 (66%)
#10 Texas TechatCincinnati
Texas Tech by 10.2 (78%)
#20 Houstonat#11 Utah
Utah by 7.0 (70%)
Michigan Stat#12 UCLA
UCLA by 10.7 (79%)
#17 IowaatMinnesota
Iowa by 5.6 (67%)
Coloradoat#18 Oklahoma St
Oklahoma St by 7.1 (71%)
#19 USCatWisconsin
USC by 1.4 (54%)
Rutgersat#25 Northwestern
Northwestern by 13.1 (84%)
BayloratKansas
Baylor by 0.5 (52%)
Iowa StateatArizona
Arizona by 6.5 (69%)
Kansas StatArizona St
Kansas St by 1.1 (53%)
Virginia TechatClemson
Clemson by 4.5 (64%)
OregonatIllinois
Oregon by 6.9 (70%)
Hawai'iatN Illinois
Hawai'i by 4.1 (62%)
Pittat#3 Miami
Miami by 12.0 (82%)
#22 LSUatAuburn
LSU by 3.8 (61%)
Californiaat#24 SMU
SMU by 7.9 (73%)
West VirginiaatTCU
TCU by 8.6 (75%)
RiceatFAU
FAU by 7.8 (72%)
W MichiganatToledo
Toledo by 2.6 (58%)
AkronatKent State
Kent State by 3.5 (60%)
Miami OHatC Michigan
Miami OH by 0.3 (51%)
Texas A&Mat#6 Alabama
Alabama by 13.0 (84%)
#14 TennesseeatSouth Carolina
Tennessee by 0.5 (52%)
Oklahomaat#16 Mississippi St
Mississippi St by 1.2 (54%)
Boston CollegeatGeorgia Tech
Georgia Tech by 9.0 (76%)
North TexasatNavy
North Texas by 3.3 (60%)
Sacramento StatBall State
Ball State by 4.4 (63%)
Bowling GreenatBuffalo
Buffalo by 3.5 (61%)
E MichiganatOhio
Ohio by 8.6 (75%)
UL MonroeatTroy
Troy by 14.3 (86%)
San José StatNevada
Nevada by 3.4 (60%)
LouisianaatSouthern Miss
Louisiana by 2.5 (58%)
Old DominionatLouisiana Tech
Louisiana Tech by 4.5 (64%)
#23 Boise StatWashington St
Boise St by 7.9 (73%)
San Diego StatColorado St
San Diego St by 0.8 (52%)
Georgia StatArkansas St
Georgia St by 0.9 (53%)
#9 Ole Missat#7 Texas
Texas by 5.6 (67%)
Vanderbiltat#15 Kentucky
Kentucky by 6.9 (70%)
SyracuseatNorth Carolina
North Carolina by 5.6 (67%)
Utah StateatTexas St
Texas St by 8.3 (74%)
UTSAatTulane
Tulane by 0.5 (52%)
N Dakota StatNew Mexico
New Mexico by 2.5 (57%)

How this works

Ratings are opponent-adjusted from 2026 results and converted to a margin with a home-field term. Probabilities use a spread fitted on out-of-sample predictions, the same conversion used everywhere else on this site.

Games involving a team outside the FBS pool use the ratings engine's FCS constant rather than a real rating, and are excluded from the disagreement list — a large gap there reflects not knowing the opponent, not a genuine difference of opinion.

Lines come from ESPN's public feed and move through the week. Voluntary Takes is an independent fan site and takes no position on any wager.