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Week 13 · 2026

What the model says about week 13

Every FBS game on the slate, with a projected margin from opponent-adjusted ratings — and, where a line exists, how far that sits from the betting market.

Tennessee's game

#14 TennesseeatVanderbilt

TBD

Tennessee by 5.4

Model

66%

To win

—

Market

Ranked teams this week

  • #16 Mississippi Stat#9 Ole Miss

    Ole Miss by 5.3 (66%)

  • #19 USCat#12 UCLA

    UCLA by 1.3 (54%)

  • Georgia Techat#1 Georgia

    Georgia by 19.4 (93%)

  • #2 Notre DameatSyracuse

    Notre Dame by 20.8 (94%)

  • Boston Collegeat#3 Miami

    Miami by 27.4 (98%)

  • Michiganat#4 Ohio State

    Ohio State by 15.2 (88%)

  • Purdueat#5 Indiana

    Indiana by 18.8 (93%)

  • Auburnat#6 Alabama

    Alabama by 16.3 (90%)

The full slate

69 games, in kickoff order.

  • Miami OHatW Michigan

    W Michigan by 7.6 (72%)

  • Kent StateatE Michigan

    E Michigan by 5.7 (67%)

  • TCUat#10 Texas Tech

    Texas Tech by 11.7 (81%)

  • FAUatEast Carolina

    East Carolina by 6.6 (69%)

  • TempleatMemphis

    Memphis by 11.3 (81%)

  • TulaneatSouth Florida

    South Florida by 6.3 (69%)

  • #16 Mississippi Stat#9 Ole Miss

    Ole Miss by 5.3 (66%)

  • Nebraskaat#17 Iowa

    Iowa by 2.2 (57%)

  • BuffaloatAkron

    Buffalo by 0.0 (50%)

  • ToledoatOhio

    Toledo by 0.4 (51%)

  • App StateatSouth Alabama

    South Alabama by 5.1 (65%)

  • FloridaatFlorida St

    Florida St by 0.7 (52%)

  • N Dakota StatSan José St

    N Dakota St by 12.7 (84%)

  • #7 TexasatTexas A&M

    Texas by 2.6 (58%)

  • MinnesotaatWisconsin

    Wisconsin by 8.1 (73%)

  • West Virginiaat#11 Utah

    Utah by 18.1 (92%)

  • Georgia Techat#1 Georgia

    Georgia by 19.4 (93%)

  • #2 Notre DameatSyracuse

    Notre Dame by 20.8 (94%)

  • Boston Collegeat#3 Miami

    Miami by 27.4 (98%)

  • Purdueat#5 Indiana

    Indiana by 18.8 (93%)

  • Auburnat#6 Alabama

    Alabama by 16.3 (90%)

  • Cincinnatiat#8 BYU

    BYU by 12.8 (84%)

  • #19 USCat#12 UCLA

    UCLA by 1.3 (54%)

  • Oklahomaat#13 Missouri

    Missouri by 4.5 (63%)

  • #14 TennesseeatVanderbilt

    Tennessee by 5.4 (66%)

  • Louisvilleat#15 Kentucky

    Kentucky by 1.4 (54%)

  • Kansasat#18 Oklahoma St

    Oklahoma St by 1.0 (53%)

  • Baylorat#20 Houston

    Houston by 7.2 (71%)

  • Dukeat#21 Wake Forest

    Wake Forest by 5.6 (67%)

  • #22 LSUatArkansas

    LSU by 10.1 (78%)

  • #24 SMUatStanford

    SMU by 8.3 (74%)

  • Illinoisat#25 Northwestern

    Northwestern by 5.7 (67%)

  • South CarolinaatClemson

    Clemson by 0.0 (50%)

  • Arizona StatArizona

    Arizona by 10.4 (79%)

  • UCFatColorado

    UCF by 5.2 (65%)

  • Kansas StatIowa State

    Iowa State by 2.9 (59%)

  • NC StateatNorth Carolina

    North Carolina by 3.2 (60%)

  • PittatCalifornia

    Pitt by 7.1 (71%)

  • VirginiaatVirginia Tech

    Virginia Tech by 0.0 (50%)

  • Penn StateatMaryland

    Penn State by 6.0 (68%)

  • WashingtonatOregon

    Oregon by 13.1 (84%)

  • Michigan StatRutgers

    Michigan St by 1.7 (55%)

  • TBDatColorado St

    Colorado St by 23.0 (96%)

  • TBDatFresno St

    Fresno St by 32.0 (99%)

  • TBDatUtah State

    Utah State by 23.6 (97%)

  • TBDatWashington St

    Washington St by 25.9 (98%)

  • UConnatWyoming

    UConn by 7.0 (71%)

  • TulsaatUTSA

    UTSA by 8.1 (73%)

  • ArmyatRice

    Army by 5.3 (66%)

  • NavyatCharlotte

    Navy by 15.3 (88%)

  • UABatNorth Texas

    North Texas by 17.3 (91%)

  • UTEPatN Illinois

    N Illinois by 1.6 (55%)

  • CoastalatJames Madison

    James Madison by 18.3 (92%)

  • Louisiana TechatGA Southern

    GA Southern by 0.8 (53%)

  • LouisianaatGeorgia St

    Georgia St by 3.6 (61%)

  • MarshallatUL Monroe

    Marshall by 3.1 (60%)

  • Southern MissatOld Dominion

    Old Dominion by 7.5 (72%)

  • Michiganat#4 Ohio State

    Ohio State by 15.2 (88%)

  • C MichiganatBall State

    C Michigan by 4.1 (62%)

  • UMassatBowling Green

    Bowling Green by 2.7 (58%)

  • Kennesaw StatWestern KY

    Kennesaw St by 0.9 (53%)

  • LibertyatMissouri St

    Liberty by 8.5 (74%)

  • Sam HoustonatFIU

    FIU by 9.7 (77%)

  • New Mexico StatMTSU

    New Mexico St by 0.4 (51%)

  • TroyatArkansas St

    Arkansas St by 0.6 (52%)

  • Jax StateatDelaware

    Jax State by 2.4 (57%)

  • Air ForceatNew Mexico

    New Mexico by 10.2 (78%)

  • NevadaatUNLV

    UNLV by 11.2 (81%)

  • Sacramento StatHawai'i

    Hawai'i by 10.3 (79%)

How this works

Ratings are opponent-adjusted from 2026 results and converted to a margin with a home-field term. Probabilities use a spread fitted on out-of-sample predictions, the same conversion used everywhere else on this site.

Games involving a team outside the FBS pool use the ratings engine's FCS constant rather than a real rating, and are excluded from the disagreement list — a large gap there reflects not knowing the opponent, not a genuine difference of opinion.

Lines come from ESPN's public feed and move through the week. Voluntary Takes is an independent fan site and takes no position on any wager.