Week 4 · Sat, Sep 26, 2026
vs Texas
Neyland Stadium
🍊 Arch Manning visits Rocky Top
How to watch
Time TBA
The SEC and its partners set most windows about 12 days out.
By the numbers
Opponent-adjusted ratings from the 2026 season. Higher is better on every row, including defense.
| Metric | Tennessee | Texas |
|---|---|---|
| Rating | +8.9 | +13.2 |
| Offense | +8.7 | +4.1 |
| Defense | +3.2 | +8.3 |
| Sched. strength | -3.9 | +6.7 |
| National rank | #17 | #9 |
Projected margin
Opp by 1.8
from last season's ratings
Rating gap
-4.3
neutral field
Opponent record
4-1
2026 season
The model's read
Texas by this site's opponent-adjusted ratings, from the 2026 season.
+13.2
Rating
#9 of all FBS
+4.1
Offense
pts vs average
+8.3
Defense
higher is better
+6.7
Schedule
who they played
The model makes Tennessee underdogs by 1.8 here, which it turns into a 45% chance of a Tennessee win — home field included.
See how often the model is right before leaning on that, and play the whole season out.
Tennessee has not played Texas since 2000, so there is no recent head-to-head record — the 2026 meeting is the first in this window.
Players to watch
Texas's leaders from the 2026 season.
Arch Manning
QB
1,122
PASS YDS
Hollywood Smothers
RB
237
RUSH YDS
Cam Coleman
WR
318
REC YDS
Rasheem Biles
LB
41
TCKL
Colin Simmons
EDGE
9.5
SACK
What decided this game →
Every play ranked by how far it moved Tennessee's chance of winning.
Every number here is from the 2026 season — the 2026 season hasn't been played. Rosters turn over heavily through the transfer portal and the draft, so treat this as a starting point rather than a projection of who will actually be on the field. Voluntary Takes is an independent Vols fan site — not affiliated with UT Athletics.