vs Texas

How it moved

Tennessee's chance of winning after every one of 189 plays.

The plays that decided it

Ranked by how far each moved Tennessee's chance of winning, biggest first. The number in orange is the swing, in points of win probability.

• Q4 0:03

  −16 → 0%

  (00:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 F.Brandon pass incomplete deep left to #1 T.Smith Jr. thrown to TEXAS00 broken up by #4 J.McDonald

• Q4 1:22

  +13 → 20%

  (01:22) #98 J.Ross kickoff 12 yards to the TENN47 Texas return for loss of 2 yards to the TENN49 fumbled by Texas at TENN49 recovered by TENN #7 A.Carter at TENN49, End Of Play

• Q3 11:14

  +12 → 34%

  (11:32) #43 M.Chiumento punt 48 yards to the TENN43 #6 Q.Moss return 57 yards to the TEXAS00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 11:14 #28 C.Ranvier kick attempt good (H: #98 J.Ross, LS: #48 B.Brady) #28 C.Ranvier kick attempt good (H: #98 J.Ross, LS: #48 B.Brady). #74 S.Umarov injured on the play

• Q4 0:51

  −10 → 14%

  (00:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 F.Brandon sacked for loss of 4 yards to the TEXAS50 (#3 R.Biles). #74 S.Umarov injured on the play

• Q4 0:26

  +10 → 15%

  (00:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 F.Brandon sacked for loss of 6 yards to the TENN34 (#40 L.Jackson, #1 C.Simmons) PENALTY TEXAS Face Mask (#19 Z.Umeozulu) 15 yards from TENN40 to TEXAS45, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY

• Q4 0:38

  −9 → 5%

  (00:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 F.Brandon rush right for 8 yards gain to the TEXAS42 (#93 H.Kanu) PENALTY TENN Holding (#69 D.Haslam) 10 yards from TEXAS50 to TENN40. NO PLAY

• Q3 11:00

  −9 → 27%

  (11:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning pass complete deep left to #8 C.Coleman caught at TENN45, for 30 yards to the TENN45, End Of Play, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY TENN Roughing The Passer (#1 T.Metcalf) 15 yards from TENN45 to TENN30, 1ST DOWN

• Q4 12:07

  +8 → 30%

  (12:20) Shotgun #17 D.Morris rush middle for 1 yard gain to the TENN30 (#93 H.Kanu; #88 M.Watson), 1ST DOWN