at South Carolina

How it moved

Tennessee's chance of winning after every one of 193 plays.

The plays that decided it

Ranked by how far each moved Tennessee's chance of winning, biggest first. The number in orange is the swing, in points of win probability.

• Q4 0:33

  −25 → 31%

  (00:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 G.MacIntyre sacked for loss of 4 yards to the UTK34 (#6 D.Stewart), fumble by #12 G.MacIntyre recovered by USC #13 T.Durojaiye at UTK34, End Of Play. UTK is challenging the ruling on the field - "Fumble". CALL UPHELD

• Q4 0:00

  −25 → 0%

  Malik Orsan 48 Yd Field Goal

• Q4 1:17

  −16 → 53%

  (01:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 L.Sellers rush right for 4 yards gain to the UTK00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:17, 1ST DOWN. The previous play is under automatic review - "Runner was not down by contact". CALL UPHELD #32 M.Orsan kick attempt good (H: #24 M.Love, LS: #57 K.Farrow)

• Q4 0:14

  −14 → 28%

  (00:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 L.Sellers rush middle for 9 yards gain to the UTK30 (#2 X.Gilliam; #22 J.Telander) (#2 X.Gilliam; #22 J.Telander)

• Q2 0:24

  +13 → 70%

  (00:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 M.Matthews rush right for 8 yards gain to the USC00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:24 #28 C.Ranvier kick attempt good (H: #98 J.Ross, LS: #48 B.Brady)

• Q2 8:06

  +12 → 56%

  (08:09) #7 D.Brame rush middle for 1 yard gain to the USC00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 08:06 #28 C.Ranvier kick attempt good (H: #98 J.Ross, LS: #48 B.Brady)

• Q4 2:09

  −11 → 73%

  (02:15) Shotgun #16 L.Sellers rush right for 22 yards gain to the UTK10 (#10 D.Lane), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN

• Q3 3:24

  −10 → 65%

  (03:33) Shotgun #16 L.Sellers pass complete short middle to #3 M.Bennett Jr. caught at USC22, for 39 yards to the UTK48 (#1 T.Metcalf), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN