vs Alabama

How it moved

Tennessee's chance of winning after every one of 183 plays.

The plays that decided it

Ranked by how far each moved Tennessee's chance of winning, biggest first. The number in orange is the swing, in points of win probability.

• Q2 4:04

  −13 → 38%

  (04:04) #32 A.Asparuhov punt 46 yards to the TENN23 Tennessee return 0 yards to the TENN23 fumbled by Tennessee at TENN23 recovered by BAMA #4 L.Metz at TENN23, End Of Play

• Q1 5:20

  −13 → 48%

  (05:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 G.MacIntyre sacked for loss of 2 yards to the BAMA23 (#0 Y.Pierre)

• Q2 10:20

  −12 → 45%

  (10:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 G.MacIntyre pass intercepted by #13 I.Taylor at TENN28 broken up by #0 Y.Pierre #13 I.Taylor return 14 yards to the TENN14 (#7 D.Brame), out of bounds. #70 D.Sanders Jr. injured on the play

• Q1 8:18

  +11 → 54%

  (08:18) Shotgun #12 K.Russell rush right for 4 yards gain to the BAMA30, out of bounds at BAMA30 PENALTY BAMA Personal Foul 13 yards from BAMA26 to BAMA13. NO PLAY

• Q1 5:21

  +9 → 61%

  (05:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 G.MacIntyre pass complete short right to #17 D.Morris caught at BAMA21, for 3 yards to the BAMA21 (#4 L.Metz)

• Q2 10:13

  −8 → 39%

  (10:20) Shotgun #12 K.Russell rush middle for 19 yards gain to the TENN00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:13, 1ST DOWN #31 C.Talty kick attempt good (H: #32 A.Asparuhov, LS: #55 A.Rozier)

• Q3 5:36

  +7 → 64%

  (05:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #18 D.Bishop rush middle for 20 yards gain to the BAMA05 (#3 K.Sabb), 1ST DOWN

• Q1 9:38

  +7 → 46%

  (09:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #18 D.Bishop rush middle for 4 yards gain to the BAMA15 (#7 C.Woodson; #22 K.Bingley-Jones)