at Arkansas

How it moved

Tennessee's chance of winning after every one of 178 plays.

The plays that decided it

Ranked by how far each moved Tennessee's chance of winning, biggest first. The number in orange is the swing, in points of win probability.

• Q4 5:44

  −22 → 52%

  (05:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 G.MacIntyre pass intercepted by #2 S.Lewis at ARK31 QB hurried by #1 C.Harrison #2 S.Lewis return 11 yards to the ARK42, End Of Play

• Q4 3:54

  +22 → 82%

  (04:06) Shotgun #18 D.Bishop rush middle for 59 yards gain to the ARK35 (#2 S.Lewis), 1ST DOWN

• Q4 14:33

  +19 → 75%

  (14:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 G.MacIntyre pass complete short left to #7 D.Brame caught at TEN45, for 68 yards to the ARK06 (#2 S.Lewis), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN

• Q4 7:20

  −12 → 70%

  (07:25) #30 M.Gilbert field goal attempt from 55 yards GOOD (H: #37 G.Rush, LS: #51 A.Johnston), clock 07:20

• Q3 3:43

  +9 → 54%

  (03:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 G.MacIntyre pass complete short left to #14 B.Staley caught at TEN38, for 22 yards to the TEN50 (#34 B.Green), 1ST DOWN

• Q3 4:28

  −8 → 50%

  (04:31) #7 K.Jackson pass complete short left to #83 J.Platt caught at TEN00, for 4 yards to the TEN00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:28 #30 M.Gilbert kick attempt good (H: #37 G.Rush, LS: #51 A.Johnston)

• Q4 2:32

  +8 → 91%

  (02:36) Shotgun #18 D.Bishop rush middle for 5 yards gain to the ARK25 (#44 B.Bogle), 1ST DOWN, PENALTY ARK Face Mask (#0 H.Osborne) 13 yards from ARK25 to ARK12, 1ST DOWN

• Q3 1:35

  +8 → 53%

  (01:41) #28 C.Ranvier field goal attempt from 49 yards GOOD (H: #98 J.Ross, LS: #48 B.Brady), clock 01:35