vs Auburn

How it moved

Tennessee's chance of winning after every one of 188 plays.

The plays that decided it

Ranked by how far each moved Tennessee's chance of winning, biggest first. The number in orange is the swing, in points of win probability.

• Q3 15:00

  −12 → 49%

  (15:00) #94 J.Turbyville kickoff 65 yards to the AUBURN00, Touchback

• Q4 4:21

  +11 → 98%

  (04:30) #18 D.Bishop rush right for 10 yards gain to the AUBURN05 (#9 E.Melendez; #17 X.Atkins), 1ST DOWN

• Q3 5:25

  +11 → 80%

  (05:34) Shotgun #17 B.Brown pass intercepted by #10 D.Lane at TENN24 QB hurried by #2 X.Gilliam and #5 D.Hobbs #10 D.Lane return 32 yards to the AUBURN44 (#55 K.McManus IV). #55 K.McManus IV injured on the play

• Q3 8:49

  +11 → 71%

  (08:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #18 D.Bishop rush right for 25 yards gain to the AUBURN00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 08:49, 1ST DOWN #28 C.Ranvier kick attempt good (H: #98 J.Ross, LS: #48 B.Brady)

• Q2 3:48

  −11 → 55%

  (03:57) Shotgun #17 B.Brown rush right for 7 yards gain to the TENN00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:48 #38 A.McPherson kick attempt good (H: #14 H.Kaak, LS: #59 H.Powell)

• Q4 10:57

  −10 → 76%

  (11:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 B.Brown pass complete short middle to #82 A.Boardingham caught at TENN05, for 16 yards to the TENN00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:57, 1ST DOWN #38 A.McPherson kick attempt good (H: #14 H.Kaak, LS: #59 H.Powell)

• Q2 5:01

  −9 → 65%

  (05:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 F.Brandon pass intercepted by #17 X.Atkins at TENN20 #17 X.Atkins return 1 yard to the TENN19, out of bounds at TENN19

• Q3 5:15

  +9 → 89%

  (05:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #18 D.Bishop rush middle for 44 yards gain to the AUBURN00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 05:15, 1ST DOWN #28 C.Ranvier kick attempt good (H: #98 J.Ross, LS: #48 B.Brady)