at Illinois

How it moved

Tennessee's chance of winning after every one of 164 plays.

The plays that decided it

Ranked by how far each moved Tennessee's chance of winning, biggest first. The number in orange is the swing, in points of win probability.

• Q4 4:58

  +39 → 64%

  #27 L.Osada kickoff 59 yards to the Vols06 #89 J.Dodson return 94 yards to the Illini00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:58 #90 M.Gilbert kick attempt good (H: #98 J.Ross, LS: #48 B.Brady)

• Q4 0:40

  −33 → 0%

  (00:40) Kneel down by #9 L.Altmyer at Vols11 for loss of 1 yard

• Q3 11:48

  −25 → 28%

  No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Aguilar sacked for loss of 20 yards to the Vols00 (#43 J.Barna), fumble by #6 J.Aguilar recovered by Illini #9 L.Lowery Jr. at Vols00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 11:48 #24 D.Olano kick attempt good (H: #40 K.Crimmins, LS: #44 P.Mahoney III)

• Q4 4:58

  −23 → 41%

  #23 J.Anderson rush right for 13 yards gain to the Vols18 (#22 J.Telander; #29 J.Ross), 1ST DOWN

• Q4 0:03

  +18 → 18%

  Timeout Illinois, clock 00:03

• Q4 0:03

  −18 → 0%

  #24 D.Olano field goal attempt from 29 yards GOOD (H: #40 K.Crimmins, LS: #44 P.Mahoney III), clock 00:00

• Q4 4:58

  −14 → 51%

  No Huddle-Shotgun #21 A.Laughery rush middle for 28 yards gain to the Vols40 (#4 T.Redmond; #2 A.Turrentine), 1ST DOWN

• Q4 4:58

  +12 → 64%

  Shotgun #9 L.Altmyer pass complete short left to #80 H.Beatty caught at Vols34, for 2 yards to the Vols31 (#4 T.Redmond), out of bounds. The previous play is under automatic review - "Short of the line to gain". CALL UPHELD