vs Vanderbilt

How it moved

Tennessee's chance of winning after every one of 185 plays.

The plays that decided it

Ranked by how far each moved Tennessee's chance of winning, biggest first. The number in orange is the swing, in points of win probability.

• Q1 2:36

  −23 → 47%

  (02:36) Shotgun #2 D.Pavia pass complete short right to #0 J.Sherrill caught at TENN43, for 24 yards to the TENN27 fumbled by #0 J.Sherrill at TENN30 forced by #15 E.Farooq recovered by VANDY #28 S.Alexander at TENN30, #28 S.Alexander for 3 yards to the TENN27, End Of Play, 1ST DOWN

• Q1 1:39

  +20 → 67%

  (01:49) Shotgun #28 S.Alexander rush middle for 1 yard loss to the TENN28 (#7 A.Carter; #22 J.Telander)

• Q1 7:43

  +15 → 76%

  (07:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Aguilar pass complete short right to #14 B.Staley caught at TENN43, for 6 yards to the TENN50, End Of Play

• Q2 10:34

  +14 → 54%

  (10:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Aguilar pass complete deep middle to #17 C.Brazzell II caught at VANDY03, for 52 yards to the VANDY00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:34, 1ST DOWN #90 M.Gilbert kick attempt good (H: #98 J.Ross, LS: #48 B.Brady) #90 M.Gilbert kick attempt good (H: #98 J.Ross, LS: #48 B.Brady). #68 B.Warren injured on the play

• Q2 0:12

  −12 → 55%

  (00:15) Shotgun #2 D.Pavia pass complete short right to #6 T.Richardson caught at TENN00, for 6 yards to the TENN00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:12 #88 B.Taylor kick attempt good (H: #38 N.Haberer, LS: #46 D.Harris)

• Q1 7:18

  −12 → 64%

  (07:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #18 D.Bishop rush middle for 18 yards gain to the VANDY32 (#1 D.Carter; #8 C.Heard), 1ST DOWN. #1 D.Carter injured on the play

• Q4 12:37

  −10 → 17%

  (12:39) Shotgun #6 J.Aguilar pass incomplete short right to #4 M.Matthews thrown to VANDY02

• Q4 12:03

  −10 → 12%

  (12:03) Shotgun #2 D.Pavia pass complete deep left to #6 T.Richardson caught at TENN42, for 28 yards to the TENN42, out of bounds at TENN42, 1ST DOWN. The previous play is under automatic review - "Pass completion". CALL UPHELD